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MEAT GOAT PRODUCTION HANDBOOK
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Consumer
Demand for Goat Meat |
Lynn Harwell
Frank Pinkerton |
| Introduction |
Much of this information is drawn
from an earlier study (Pinkerton et al, 1993) and
from a very recent assessment of Florida goat sales
and utilization of products by the authors. We initially
contacted goat industry personnel already known to
us and thereafter contacted persons and firms identified
by the original informants as being market players
of various magnitude. We then interviewed on site
those who agreed to share information concerning industry
production, processing and marketing practices. We
also gathered assorted statistical data from state
agencies, the U. S. Departments of Agriculture and
Commerce, Canadian government entitles, and from certain
public livestock auctions. |
Frequently, interviewees provided
additional investigative leads while they were imparting
historical and current knowledge of the goat trade
across time and place. As expected, interviewees varied
widely in willingness to share operational aspects
of their firms. Many held quite divergent attitudes
toward their suppliers and customers. Moreover, some
interviewees spoke only guardedly while others spoke
rather freely about their competitors. Considerable
variation in assessments of future industry developments
and prospects was also encountered. As always in such
situations, we were obliged to make value judgments
on the validity of the respondents replies and observations
and, subsequently, to search for affirmations and
contradictions among the aggregate findings. |
GOAT DEMAND |
Overview |
The economic concept of demand
holds just as it does with supply; that is, demand
represents a schedule of amounts and prices over time,
and the sensitivity between price and quantity can
be expressed in terms of elasticity. Demand is thus
a reflection of the "consumption personality"
of the industry. |
There are indications that consumption
has moved up substantially since the mid-1980's at
more or less stable prices. Figure 1 shows that total
goats slaughtered at federally inspected plants has
more than doubled since 1980 from a base of less than
100,000 head. This apparently reflects the continuing
satiation of demand, a phenomenon strengthened by
significant levels of immigration. With supply and
demand both shifting upward, indications of a growing
industry are in place. Figure 1 also reveals the number
of goat slaughter plants in operation has declined
by more than half since 1984, probably reflecting
development of a more mature, solidified industry.
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The major demand for goat meat
comes from myriad ethnic groups; the predominately
white, middle-class population consumes relatively
little goat meat. Ethnic and religious identity is
often a significant component of a consumer's self-concept.
Ethnic persons may expend great effort to keep their
identification from being merged into the dominant
society. Both food preference and religious affiliation
show evidence of this determination (Solomen, 1992).
Thus, the consumption of goat meat is interwoven into
the fabric of tradition and religious observation;
e.g., the quantity taken and the prices of goat meat
rises dramatically each year at Christmas, Easter,
and Ramadan. |
Because of this persistence in
maintaining ethnic practices, whether related to habit,
tradition, or religious beliefs, the demand for goat
meat is thought to be relatively inelastic. This means
that the demand for a certain volume of goat meat
will hold in the face of strengthening prices. It
also means that a decrease in price will not do much
to create additional goat meat sales. Further increases
in demand will come with increases in ethnic populations
and improvements in their purchasing power. However,
one caveat should be noted. Ethnic income, on a per
capita basis, largely comes from employment in the
blue collar and service industries, and is, therefore,
more subject to economic aberration than salaried
employment. The current economic recession has had
an impact on goat meat consumption, particularly in
and around New York City. This impact has come in
terms of prices processors are willing to pay and
in terms of quality taken. |
On balance, prospects for a increase
in general demand for goat meat appear to be good,
in part because immigration, which averaged 61,150
per month in the last decade, will likely continue
at an unabated pace and many will be goat consumers;
see Figure 2. Also, the economic status of many recent
immigrants continues to improve. Contrarily, acceptance
of goat meat as standard fare will likely increase
much more slowly among consumers with traditional
allegiance to beef and pork. |
Additional sources of demand
are coming from the health food sector and from the
yuppie community now beginning to consume goat meat
as a gourmet item. To date, these are relatively minor
forces, but this niche market seems open to development.
Breakthroughs in utilization of goat meat (chevon)
in gourmet restaurants may be easier to achieve than
earlier thought. Only 15 to 20 specialty meat purveyors
move the bulk of such products in the U.S. |
Goat meat is a relatively "high
ticket" item. While this may seem incongruous
with low income economic consumption, it is not for
at least three reasons: 1) ethnic households have
a higher proportion of wage earners than households
of other consuming groups, 2) immigrants are accustomed
to paying more of their discretionary income for food,
and 3) goat meat is regularly featured as holiday
fare, particularly at religious celebrations, during
which costs are of lesser concerns. |
Population demographics
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Early on, the majority of American
immigrants came from Europe, but immigration patterns
changed dramatically after World War II (Soloman,
1992). Recent arrivals are more likely to be Asian
or Hispanic. For example, in Detroit, the largest
share of recent immigrants comes from India. |
Hispanic populations are highly
concentrated. Over 50 percent of the total live in
only six cities: Los Angeles, New York, Miami, San
Antonio, San Francisco, and Chicago (LaFranchi, 1988). |
As might be expected, the makeup
of foreign born in the various metropolitan areas
differs in rather extreme degree. While foreign born
residents in Houston and Los Angeles come mostly from
Central and South America, persons with European ancestry
comprise the larger group (or groups) in New York
City. In Miami, most foreign born immigrated from
the West Indies. Figure 3 pictures this separation
of ethnic cultures for the four cities just described.
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Ethnic restaurants are a fast-growing
segment of the food industry. In a recent study (Zelinsky,
1987), restaurant patronage in the U.S. increased
by only 10 percent in a four-year period, but rates
increased by 43 percent for Mexican eating establishments
and 54 percent for Asian restaurants. Chinese is the
most frequently served cuisine, followed closely by
Mexican and Italian. These three groups account for
more than 70 percent of the total, and goat meat consumption
is common to all three cultures. |
Many Latins, and some Orientals,
are illegal immigrants, a group understandably difficult
to count. It is estimated that anywhere from 1.8 to
5.4 million persons enter this country illegally each
year; again, their preference for goat meat is well
known. Even among the foreign born residing in this
country legally, the proportion without U.S. citizenship
is rising dramatically. As shown in Figure 4 the proportion
of those not a citizen rose from 36% in 1970 to over
60% today. |
The Hispanic subculture, until
quite recently ignored by marketers, is characterized
by rapid growth and increasing affluence. Now numbering
more than 19 million, it is projected that Hispanics
will outnumber blacks as the nation's largest minority
group by 2015. The average Hispanic household, at
3.5 people, compares with the 2.7 average of other
households. Latins are also a group of youthful consumers.
Their average age is 23.6, compared with U.S. average
of 32. |
Mexican-Americans make up 62
percent of all Hispanic-Americans and are the fastest
growth segment. In contrast, Cuban-Americans are by
far the wealthiest segment, but are also the smallest
group and are older on average than other Hispanics
(Schwartz, 1988).
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Asian-Americans comprise the
fastest growing minority group. Among Asian subgroups,
Chinese are the largest, with Filipinos and Japanese
second and third, respectively. Asian-Americans currently
include about two percent of the population (Kern,
1988). Typically, they save more of their wages and
borrow less, and tend to invest conservatively. In
1990, the median income of an Asian-American household
was $31,500 compared to $28,700 for whites, $20,000
for Hispanics, and $16,000 for blacks. |
Religion per se has not been
studied extensively in marketing, possibly because
if is seen as a "taboo" subject. However,
the evidence that has been accumulated indicates the
religious affiliation has the potential to be a valuable
predictor of consumer marketing behavior (Hirschman,
1983). The teachings of Mohammed, identified with
several religious groups collectively known as followers
of Islam, appear mysterious to most Americans. A goat
is often slaughtered for special occasions, holidays,
or celebrations. In the Mohammedan calendar, there
are two important feasts, the "small Eid,"
celebrated at the end of the fasting months of Ramadan,
and "the great feast of Eid." Muslims in
a financial position to do so are urged to slaughter
a sheep or goat for these feasts (Beker, 1981). There
are said to be some 14 million Muslims now in the
U.S., almost all in the urban centers. |
Consumer preference |
Hispanics spend 15 percent to
20 percent more of their disposable income on food
than the national average. Goat meat is frequently
holiday fare in most Hispanic homes. Family activities
are important and spending time en familie influences
the structure of many consumption activities. Mexican-Americans
prefer to serve "cabrito," preferring young
high quality, milk fed kids (live weight 15-25 lb)
for this purpose. |
Chinese and Koreans prefer young
goats of good quality, but in the 60-70 lb liveweight
range. They typically consume goat meat only during
the cool weather months. Italians prefer 20-25 lb
kids and Greeks prefer 30-40 lb kids at Christmas
and Easter. |
Jewish ethnicity exerts an exceptionally
strong influence on consumers, since it incorporates
both cultural and religious dimensions. Jewish celebrations
of their New Year and Passover are similar to Greek
and Italian observations of Christmas and Easter.
Preferences are for high quality kids weighing from
20 to 40 pounds live. To satisfy an increase in demand
for kosher food, each year about 500 new kosher products
appear on the market. This trend is driven by 1) increased
religious observance by young Jews, and 2) the belief
among many gentiles that kosher food is of higher
quality. |
Certain people, predominately
of the Moslem faith, but also groups of African descent
from the West Indies, prefer older goats of lesser
quality, and many times want intact males. Many wish
to perform the slaughter function themselves; strongly
felt religious significance is a part of this observance.
Near the major cities of the Northeast and Southeast,
rather extensive facilities exists on nearby farms
to accommodate particular ethnic wishes. |
Conclusions |
1. Rationalization of production
and marketing of slaughter goats is essential if future
demand is to be met and if all players in the marketing
channel are to receive reasonably equitable returns;
modifications in industry practices, though obviously
needed, will likely be slow in coming.
2. The current industry practices of marketing mostly
whole or half carcasses should be altered over time
and place to sales of primal and retail cuts and value-added
products.
3. While yet a predominately adolescent industry,
signs of maturity are beginning to emerge. Major players
with some notable inter-city exceptions, will not
likely be the same five to eight years from now. As
sale volumes continue to increase, so also will sophistication
in transportation, processing, and marketing.
4. Mass marketing to ethnic sub-culture consumers
began receiving enormous play, principally in marketing
journals and trade magazines only recently; consumption
of goat meat will likely be favorably affected by
those investigations and exhortations. |
Monthly Immigration |
Years
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Number
per Month |
1961-70 |
27,681 |
1971-80 |
37,444 |
1981-90 |
61,150 |
| Source: U.S. Immigration and Naturalization
Service |
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| References |
1. Beker, F. 1981. Socioeconomics
of sheep and goat production in Pakistan's Punjab.
Verlag Brientenbach Publishers, Ft. Lauderdatel.
2. Hirschman, E. C. 1983. Religious affiliation and
consumption processes: an initial paradigm. Research
and Marketing, JAJ Press, Greenwich, CT.
3. Kern, R. 1988. The Asian market. Too good to be
true. Sale and Marketing Management, May issue.
4. LaFranchi, H. 1988. Media and Marketers discover
Hispanic boom. The Christian Science Monitor, April
Issue.
5. Pinkerton, F., L. Harwell, N. Escobar and W. Drinkwater.
1993. Marketing channels and margins for slaughter
goats of southern origin. Southern Rural Development
Center, Mississippi State University.
6. Schwartz, J. 1988. Hispanics in the eighties. American
Demographics, January Issue.
7. Solomon, M. R. 1992. Consumer Behavior. Allyn and
Bacon, Boston, MA.
8. Zelinsky, W. 1987. You are what you eat. American
Demographics:
6, July. |
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